Three days after the US presidential election on November 3, the count which continued Friday in several key states turned to the advantage of Joe Biden. If the latter is getting closer each day to the White House, outgoing President Donald Trump continues to claim a victory that he accuses the Democrats of stealing from him. Expert in international relations and special advisor to the Montaigne Institute, Dominique Moïsi delivers his analysis of this agitated ballot and its consequences until the nomination.
While Donald Trump seems to have no intention of conceding a defeat that seems almost acquired, how can we imagine the days to come and the handover?
DOMINIQUE MOÏSI. There is no precedent in the history of the United States of a president candidate for his succession who, against all evidence, refuses the result of the ballot box and seeks to reinforce the distrust of his camp against the other camp. The weeks between Biden’s election and his inauguration will be among the most complex in US history. Because there will still be a beaten, humiliated, furious man in the White House who might want to do as much harm as possible. The system will have to resist. The Republicans will have to take their responsibilities, not follow their president in a suicidal headlong rush. And the institutions will have to stand firm, from the army to justice.
Are we really at an impasse or are there contacts between the two camps?
To face the strategy of Donald Trump, Joe Biden has an essential role to play: he is best equipped to calm things down. He is already presidential and has a very long experience in politics. As vice president, he has known all the Republican leaders and he can speak to them individually, one after the other, to try to save what can be saved in terms of decency. Because at some point, the Republican pundits, faced with the numbers, will have to stop betraying their country and appearing as the faithful servants of the man who will no longer be the President of the United States. It will be very difficult for them to maintain this fiction of lying. Republicans have a responsibility in the eyes of history.
But Donald Trump himself, how long can he persist?
At worst, it will last until January 20. It will be interesting to see if, for the first time in the history of the United States, the defeated candidate will refuse to attend the induction of his successor into the White House and hand him the keys to power. There is no favorable outcome for Trump, but he can drag America down by inciting violence with his words. You almost have the impression that this is what he wants. Trump can also come back down realizing that he has gone too far: it is a mode of operation that we have already seen at home.
What is the ultimate risk?
The ultimate risk is the assassination of Biden when he has not yet been inducted as President of the United States! It is a real risk. Hope Biden is well protected and his teams are aware of the threat (its security was reinforced this Friday, Editor’s note). You still have almost fanaticized and overarmed populations behind Trump.
Faced with this unprecedented situation, are American institutions in danger?
I am rather confident that America can resist this crisis, because Americans have real respect for the Constitution and institutions. These are much stronger than the incumbent president thinks, who doesn’t really have a political culture.
What do you think of the image sent to the world by the United States at the moment?
The confusion that Donald Trump sows abundantly is a gift from the gods for authoritarian regimes. We see Vladimir Poutine who says that the American system is chaos. Xi Jinping, who suggests that the Chinese-style authoritarian system is much more effective and to fight pandemics, and to manage a country. In fact, Trump appears to be the propaganda agent for authoritarian regimes.
Original article by : www.leparisien.fr