Trump or Biden? As suspected by many observers, it is impossible to say this Wednesday morning who will become the new American president. The Democratic “tidal wave” envisioned by some pollsters and hoped for by Joe Biden’s team and supporters clearly did not happen. There are still many ballots to be counted in some key states and Trump has a good chance of being re-elected.
“Voters will have to be patient while waiting for the election results this year. […] It is important to recognize that this process may take time, ”warned Chad Wolf, the US Minister of Homeland Security, on Tuesday.
Donald Trump, in the running for his re-election, should keep three of the “swing states”, those states that can swing a ballot, according to the first consolidated estimates: North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio (these last two having been announced shortly after 6 a.m. on Wednesday morning, Tuesday evening in the United States). That is to say 62 big voters, very valuable to end up with the majority of 270 allowing to gain the election. Based only on the most certain results, the counter is currently 235 voters for Biden and 213 for Trump.
To gain 35 more, Democratic hopes are now based on the states of the “Rust Belt”, as the north-eastern area of the country is nicknamed, including Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Except that a large number of voters voted by post in these three other key states because of the Covid-19 pandemic. However, for reasons of means, the counting is far from having been completed this Wednesday morning.
In Pennsylvania, where one million residents voted remotely, seven counties are scheduled to begin counting these postal votes only on Wednesday. This state, which “sends” 20 major voters, had switched to Republicans in 2016, allowing Trump to win against Hillary Clinton. The US president has a thirteen point lead this Wednesday morning, but… with only 74% of the ballots. In Wisconsin, Trump enjoys a narrow four-point lead, awaiting the remaining 20% of ballots. In Michigan, no winner is known either this Wednesday morning.
However, postal voting would be especially popular with voters of Joe Biden. A few weeks ago, the proportion of voters intending to vote by mail was higher among Democrats than among Republicans: 51% against 20%, according to a poll.
Be careful, therefore. And that could last until Friday at the earliest, according to many observers.
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A few hours before the vote, Donald Trump had expressed his impatience. “We are entitled to know the winner on November 3,” he said on Tuesday. This Wednesday morning, on Twitter, he accused the Democrats of having “stolen” the election and asked to stop counting the votes. Before announcing wanting to seize the Supreme Court to stop the counting of votes where the count is not finished.
But he is “too close to call” (“too tight to say”) if he stays at his post or if he will have to give way to Joe Biden. “We will have to be patient,” said the latter during a brief speech this Wednesday morning.
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Original article by : www.leparisien.fr